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Birkenhead vs Hamilton

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Birkenhead in this Chatham Cup 2013 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Birkenhead
15%
Draws
42%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Birkenhead lately — more wins on the board than Hamilton.
  • Birkenhead are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Birkenhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 19%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkenhead Hamilton
Matches Played 40 29
Wins 22 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2013 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Hamilton
3:1
Jul 8, 2012 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Hamilton
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkenhead 58 / 100
Hamilton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkenhead Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birkenhead Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Birkenhead scored in 90% of their last 40 outings.

Hamilton let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Birkenhead has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Birkenhead VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkenhead

(Home)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0
Christchurch
Page 1 of 8

Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Palmerston North Marist 2
Napier City 1
Cashmere Technical 7
Waimakariri United 0
Wellington Olympic 4
Lower Hutt City 2
Roslyn Wakari 1
Caversham 4
Manurewa 0
Melville 1
Birkenhead 3
Hamilton 1
Waitakere City 3
Bay Olympic 1
Onehunga 4
Ngaruawahia AFC 0
Quarter-finals
Palmerston North Marist 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Wellington Olympic 3
Caversham 2
Melville 3
Birkenhead 2
Waitakere City 7
Onehunga 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 4
Wellington Olympic 0
Melville 1
Waitakere City 4
Final
Cashmere Technical 3
Waitakere City 1