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Birkenhead vs Onehunga

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Onehunga advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Birkenhead
15%
Draws
42%
Onehunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Birkenhead come out ahead of Onehunga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Birkenhead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Onehunga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 19%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkenhead Onehunga
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 15 10
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 2.13 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2017 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs Onehunga
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkenhead 36 / 100
Onehunga 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkenhead Onehunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkenhead scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Birkenhead remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Onehunga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 14 matches.

Scoring Trends

Birkenhead VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkenhead

(Home)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0
Christchurch
Page 1 of 7

Onehunga

(Away)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 4
North Shore 0
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 1
Stop Out SC 1
Western Suburbs 5
Western Springs 2
Bay Olympic 3
Queenstown Rovers 1
Nelson Suburbs FC 6
Cashmere Technical 2
Caversham 0
Three Kings 1
Birkenhead 2
Onehunga 1
Melville 0
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Wairarapa United 0
Western Suburbs 1
Bay Olympic 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Birkenhead 0
Onehunga 3
Semi-finals
Central United 5
Bay Olympic 0
Cashmere Technical 0
Onehunga 3
Final
Central United 3
Onehunga 4