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Birkerod vs Egedal

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division East 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Wozniacki P.
63' Event
Drescher M.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division East 2013/2014 game between Birkerod and Egedal finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Birkerod
20%
Draws
46%
Egedal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Egedal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Egedal haven't matched Birkerod's recent run of results.
  • Egedal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Birkerod Clean Sheet 10%
Egedal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkerod Egedal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2014 Betano Pokalen
Egedal vs Birkerod
3:2
May 16, 2014 2nd Division East
Birkerod vs Egedal
1:1
Oct 26, 2013 2nd Division East
Egedal vs Birkerod
1:4
Aug 15, 2012 Betano Pokalen
Birkerod vs Egedal
2:4
May 19, 2012 2nd Division East
Birkerod vs Egedal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birkerod Compare

Top Goalscorer Wozniacki P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Egedal Compare

Top Goalscorer Drescher M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkerod 10 / 100
Egedal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkerod Egedal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egedal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egedal has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Birkerod found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Birkerod has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Birkerod VS Egedal
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkerod

(Home)
04 Aug
Birkerod
2 : 4
Allerod
06 Aug
Bornholm
3 : 2
Birkerod
05 Sept
Birkerod
0 : 2
Vanlose
08 Aug
Amager FF
2 : 3
Birkerod
10 Mar
Frederikssund
0 : 1
Birkerod
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Egedal

(Away)
29 Oct
Egedal
2 : 3
Varde
24 Sept
Egedal
2 : 1
Nordsjaelland
12 Aug
Egedal
3 : 2
Birkerod
21 Jun
Egedal
2 : 2
Holbaek
14 Jun
BK Frem
1 : 1
Egedal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roskilde 30 26 2 2 88:22 80
2 Naestved IF 30 18 7 5 69:34 61
3 Fremad Amager 30 15 6 9 76:55 51
4 Helsingor 30 15 5 10 59:35 50
5 B 1908 30 15 5 10 46:36 50
6 Holbaek 30 12 9 9 66:58 45
7 Sollerod-Ved. 30 10 11 9 40:42 41
8 BK Frem 30 9 11 10 46:44 38
9 Nykobing 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
10 Boldklubben 1893 30 10 6 14 42:43 36
11 Gentofte-Vangede 30 9 8 13 42:63 35
12 Svebolle 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Avarta 30 8 7 15 50:67 31
14 Vanlose 30 8 5 17 34:67 29
15 Birkerod 30 8 4 18 39:69 28
16 Egedal 30 4 9 17 31:69 21
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