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Birkirkara vs Nadur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Falcone F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Birkirkara advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Birkirkara
15%
Draws
26%
Nadur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkirkara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nadur come out ahead of Birkirkara on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Birkirkara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nadur arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkirkara, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Birkirkara have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Birkirkara Clean Sheet 20%
Nadur Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birkirkara Nadur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 0
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.34 2.53
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Nadur
4:0
Dec 1, 2019 FA Trophy
Birkirkara vs Nadur
1:0
Dec 2, 2018 FA Trophy
Nadur vs Birkirkara
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birkirkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Falcone F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Nadur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birkirkara 85 / 100
Nadur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birkirkara Nadur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birkirkara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkirkara's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nadur let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Birkirkara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Birkirkara VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Birkirkara

(Home)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
12 Sept
Birkirkara
1 : 1
Hibernians
06 Sept
Sliema
2 : 1
Birkirkara
30 Aug
Mosta FC
1 : 0
Birkirkara
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
Page 1 of 7

Nadur

(Away)
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0
Nadur
07 Dec
Nadur
1 : 4
Birzebbuga
07 Dec
Valletta
3 : 1
Nadur
14 Jan
Nadur
1 : 2
Sirens
13 Dec
Nadur
3 : 2
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Floriana -
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Zurrieq -
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Melita -
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Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
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Sannat Lions -
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Gharghur -
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Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
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Vittoriosa -
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Nadur -
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Oratory -
Balzan FC -
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San Gwann -
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Marsa -
Sliema -
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Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints -
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Dingli Swallows -
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Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
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St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
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Gharb -
TBD -
St. Lawrence 0
Xewkija 5
Mgarr -
TBD -
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Mtarfa -
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Ghaxaq 4
Zebbug Rovers 1
Marsaxlokk -
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St. Andrews -
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Valletta -
Kirkop 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Xbiex 1
Munxar 2
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Fgura -
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Sirens -
Zebbug -
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Kalkara -
Xaghra 2
St. Venera 0
Victoria Wanderers 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Siggiewi 1
Marsaskala FC 0
Victoria Hotspurs 7
Mdina 0
Gudja -
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Qrendi -
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Lija -
Pembroke -
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Xghajra -
Msida -
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Attard -
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Zabbar -
Zejtun -
TBD -
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Naxxar Lions -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
TBD -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/64-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 0
Gharghur 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
Nadur 4
Oratory 0
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Qala Saints 2
Dingli Swallows 3
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xewkija 2
Mgarr -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Ghaxaq 2
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 5
Munxar 0
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
Xaghra 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 4
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Xghajra -
Msida 1
Attard 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Zejtun -
TBD -
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Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
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Hibernians -
Qormi -
TBD -
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Luqa -
Mellieha -
TBD -
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Swieqi -
Tarxien -
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Hamrun -
1/32-finals
Floriana -
TBD -
Zurrieq 0
Melita 2
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Rabat Ajax 4
Gharghur 1
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 0
Nadur 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
San Gwann 2
Marsa 0
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Dingli Swallows 1
Mqabba FC 3
Pieta 4
St. George's FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Xewkija 7
Mgarr 5
Ghaxaq 1
Marsaxlokk 1
St. Andrews 3
TBD -
Valletta -
Kercem Ajax 2
Fgura 1
TBD -
Sirens -
Zebbug 3
Kalkara 1
Xaghra 0
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Qrendi 0
Lija 5
Pembroke 3
Xghajra 0
Attard 0
Zabbar 1
Zejtun 2
Naxxar Lions 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Qormi 1
Luqa 0
Mellieha 1
Swieqi 4
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Floriana 6
Melita 1
Gzira 1
Senglea 2
Rabat Ajax 0
Mosta FC 7
Birkirkara 1
Nadur 0
Balzan FC 3
San Gwann 0
Sliema 0
Santa Lucia 2
Mqabba FC 0
Pieta 3
Xewkija 5
Mgarr 2
St. Andrews 0
Valletta 4
Kercem Ajax 1
Sirens 4
Zebbug 3
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Gudja 3
Lija 0
Pembroke 6
Zabbar 0
Zejtun 0
Hibernians 3
Qormi 2
Swieqi 3
Tarxien 1
Hamrun 2
1/8-finals
Floriana 2
Senglea 0
Mosta FC 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 2
Santa Lucia 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 1
Valletta 4
Sirens 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Gudja 3
Pembroke 0
Hibernians 4
Swieqi 1
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Floriana 2
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 0
Pieta 1
Valletta 2
Gudja 0
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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