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Birmingham Legion 2 vs Swarm FC Prediction & H2H Stats

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USL League Two
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Birmingham Legion 2 and Swarm FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Birmingham Legion 2
30%
Draws
39%
Swarm FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swarm FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Swarm FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Swarm FC a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Birmingham Legion 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Swarm FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham Legion 2 Swarm FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 USL League Two
Birmingham Legion 2 vs Swarm FC
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Birmingham Legion 2
3:1
Jun 18, 2025 USL League Two
Birmingham Legion 2 vs Swarm FC
1:1
May 17, 2025 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Birmingham Legion 2
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Birmingham Legion 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham Legion 2 22 / 100
Swarm FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham Legion 2 Swarm FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swarm FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham Legion 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Swarm FC has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Birmingham Legion 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham Legion 2 VS Swarm FC
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham Legion 2

(Home)
11 Jul
Birmingham Legion 2
3 : 2
Montgomery United
05 Jul
East Atlanta FC
4 : 1
Birmingham Legion 2
02 Jul
Birmingham Legion 2
1 : 1
Columbus United
26 Jun
Birmingham Legion 2
2 : 2
Swarm FC
21 Jun
Apotheos
0 : 1
Birmingham Legion 2
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Swarm FC

(Away)
16 Jul
Fort Lauderdale United
4 : 0
Swarm FC
08 Jul
Swarm FC
5 : 4
East Atlanta FC
28 Jun
Swarm FC
3 : 1
Dothan United
26 Jun
Birmingham Legion 2
2 : 2
Swarm FC
23 Jun
Swarm FC
4 : 0
Montgomery United
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