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Birmingham W vs Liverpool W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hobinger M.
Assist: Csillag A.
34' Event
Levasseur M.
Assist: Effa Effa C.
44'
Sub
Csillag A. In: Kapocs C.
Out: Csillag A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-4. This leg finished 3-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Birmingham W
15%
Draws
76%
Liverpool W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liverpool W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Liverpool W lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham W.
  • Model gives Liverpool W a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Liverpool W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Liverpool W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 10%
Liverpool W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Birmingham W Liverpool W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.33 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Women's League Cup
Birmingham W vs Liverpool W
3:4
Aug 19, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Birmingham W vs Liverpool W
0:4
Aug 31, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Birmingham W vs Liverpool W
0:1
Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Birmingham W vs Liverpool W
1:0
Feb 2, 2020 WSL
Liverpool W vs Birmingham W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Birmingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Levasseur M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee Geum-Min
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Liverpool W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hobinger M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McDonald N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Birmingham W 14 / 100
Liverpool W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Birmingham W Liverpool W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Liverpool W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Birmingham W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Birmingham W VS Liverpool W
1.5 Goals Scored 3.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Birmingham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

Liverpool W

(Away)
03 Oct
Manchester United W
1 : 0
Liverpool W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Everton W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Liverpool W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester United W 2 2 0 0 15:2 6
2 Aston Villa W 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Crystal Palace W 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Liverpool W 2 2 0 0 8:5 6
5 London City Lionesses W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 West Ham W 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
7 Tottenham W 2 1 0 1 1:0 4
8 Brighton W 2 1 0 1 4:1 3
9 Everton W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bristol City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Burnley W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Wolverhampton W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Watford W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ipswich W 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sunderland W 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 Newcastle Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
17 Southampton FC W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
18 Nottingham W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
19 Leicester W 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Birmingham W 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Durham W 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
22 Charlton W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
23 Sheffield Utd W 1 0 0 1 1:10 0
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