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Bisceglie vs Molfetta Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Urquiza F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 game between Bisceglie and Molfetta Calcio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bisceglie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bisceglie
15%
Draws
28%
Molfetta Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bisceglie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bisceglie have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Molfetta Calcio are scoring more at 1.19.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Bisceglie taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bisceglie Clean Sheet 68%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bisceglie Molfetta Calcio
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Molfetta Calcio
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Bisceglie
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bisceglie Compare

Top Goalscorer Urquiza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bisceglie 86 / 100
Molfetta Calcio 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bisceglie Molfetta Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bisceglie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bisceglie scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Molfetta Calcio conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bisceglie stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bisceglie VS Molfetta Calcio
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bisceglie

(Home)
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
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Molfetta Calcio

(Away)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)