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Bistra vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Bistra and Segesta finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bistra
20%
Draws
40%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bistra haven't matched Segesta's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Segesta taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bistra Clean Sheet 12%
Segesta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistra Segesta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.53 2.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2022 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Segesta
1:1
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Bistra
2:3
May 22, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Bistra
0:4
Oct 31, 2020 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Segesta
4:1
Apr 18, 2015 Prva NL
Segesta vs Bistra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistra 10 / 100
Segesta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistra Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Segesta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Bistra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Segesta
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistra

(Home)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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Segesta

(Away)
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)