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Stadium Background

Bistra vs Tresnjevka

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Bistra Logo

Bistra

3 - 2
FT
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bistra in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bistra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bistra
20%
Draws
40%
Tresnjevka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bistra have won more games recently than Tresnjevka.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Bistra Clean Sheet 13%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistra Tresnjevka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Tresnjevka
3:2
Sep 11, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Bistra
2:2
May 16, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Tresnjevka
0:0
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Bistra
5:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistra 31 / 100
Tresnjevka 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistra Tresnjevka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tresnjevka conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bistra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistra VS Tresnjevka
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistra

(Home)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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Tresnjevka

(Away)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)