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Bistra vs Vrapce

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Bistra Logo

Bistra

1 - 1
FT
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Bistra and Vrapce finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bistra
30%
Draws
43%
Vrapce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vrapce's 1.57 goals per match outpaces what Bistra have produced (1.53).
  • Win probability leans Vrapce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Bistra Clean Sheet 10%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistra Vrapce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Vrapce
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Bistra
4:1
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Bistra
2:3
Aug 30, 2020 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Vrapce
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistra 10 / 100
Vrapce 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistra Vrapce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vrapce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistra's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vrapce conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bistra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistra VS Vrapce
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistra

(Home)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
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Vrapce

(Away)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)