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Bistrica vs Jesenice Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Grgas Grando J.
44' Event
Zabukovnik A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bistrica
15%
Draws
51%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jesenice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bistrica have won more games recently than Jesenice.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 11%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Jesenice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Jesenice
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Bistrica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabukovnik A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jesenice Compare

Top Goalscorer Grgas Grando J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 30 / 100
Jesenice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jesenice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistrica's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Bistrica has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS Jesenice
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
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Jesenice

(Away)
04 Oct
Triglav
4 : 0
Jesenice
27 Sept
Jesenice
5 : 0
Vrhnika
20 Sept
Bilje
0 : 2
Jesenice
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)