Sport Picks

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Bistrica vs ND Gorica

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Baruca L.
90' Event
Vrdoljak M.
90' Event
Cavara M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Bistrica and ND Gorica finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ND Gorica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bistrica
6%
Draws
90%
ND Gorica
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: ND Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ND Gorica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 14%
ND Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica ND Gorica
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 2. SNL
Bistrica vs ND Gorica
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Bistrica
2:2
Mar 9, 2025 2. SNL
Bistrica vs ND Gorica
1:0
Aug 23, 2024 2. SNL
ND Gorica vs Bistrica
3:1
Mar 30, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs ND Gorica
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bistrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Vrdoljak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ND Gorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Baruca L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cavara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 10 / 100
ND Gorica 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica ND Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ND Gorica let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bistrica scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Bistrica remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS ND Gorica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
18 Jul
ASK Voitsberg
5 : 4
Bistrica
14 Jul
Bistrica
0 : 4
FC Bihor
23 May
Bistrica
1 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 May
Triglav
0 : 4
Bistrica
09 May
Bistrica
0 : 4
Grosuplje
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ND Gorica

(Away)
23 May
Krsko Posavje
2 : 0
ND Gorica
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
NK Krka
1 : 4
ND Gorica
02 May
ND Gorica
2 : 3
Rudar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)