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Bistrica vs Primorje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistrica host Primorje in the 2. SNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Primorje have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Bistrica have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Primorje slightly — 0-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Bistrica. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bistrica
30%
Draws
23%
Primorje
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bistrica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bistrica's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 16%
Primorje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Primorje
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.37 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Primorje
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 2. SNL
Primorje vs Bistrica
2:2
Mar 4, 2023 2. SNL
Primorje vs Bistrica
2:0
Aug 20, 2022 2. SNL
Bistrica vs Primorje
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 39 / 100
Primorje 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Primorje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistrica's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Primorje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bistrica remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS Primorje
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
Page 1 of 6

Primorje

(Away)
03 Oct
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Primorje
26 Sept
Triglav
1 : 1
Primorje
19 Sept
Vrhnika
2 : 1
Primorje
11 Sept
Primorje
2 : 3
Bilje
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)