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Bistrica vs Smarje

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2017/2018
Bistrica Logo

Bistrica

2 - 0
FT
Smarje Logo

Smarje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bistrica in this 3. SNL - North 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bistrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bistrica
15%
Draws
28%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bistrica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Smarje haven't matched Bistrica's recent run of results.
  • Bistrica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bistrica have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 16%
Smarje Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrica Smarje
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 19 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 2.05 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 3. SNL - East
Bistrica vs Smarje
12:1
Oct 23, 2021 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Bistrica
0:2
Sep 26, 2020 3. SNL - East
Smarje vs Bistrica
0:5
May 8, 2018 3. SNL - North
Bistrica vs Smarje
2:0
Oct 7, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Bistrica
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrica 84 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrica Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bistrica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smarje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Bistrica's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Smarje's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bistrica VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrica

(Home)
26 Sept
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Bistrica
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
12 Sept
Bistrica
2 : 1
NK Brezice
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
29 Aug
Bistrica
2 : 0
Vrhnika
Page 1 of 8

Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dravograd 26 18 7 1 66:18 61
2 Sampion Celje 26 17 8 1 60:19 59
3 Dravinja 26 13 7 6 49:27 46
4 Pesnica 26 13 6 7 39:30 45
5 Bistrica 26 11 8 7 40:32 41
6 Zrece 26 12 4 10 58:37 40
7 SD Videm 26 10 5 11 38:43 35
8 Pohorje 26 10 5 11 41:50 35
9 Mons Claudius 26 7 10 9 32:43 31
10 Dobrovce 26 8 4 14 36:45 28
11 Sentjur 26 7 3 16 34:65 24
12 Korotan Prevalje 26 7 2 17 35:43 23
13 Lenart 26 7 2 17 30:64 23
14 Smarje 26 6 1 19 26:68 19
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)