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Bitonto vs Matera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Diame A.
Own Goal
65' Event
Palazzo L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bitonto
20%
Draws
46%
Matera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Matera lately — more wins on the board than Bitonto.
  • Win probability leans Matera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 19%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitonto Matera
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Matera
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Bitonto
4:1
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Matera
1:1
Oct 12, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Bitonto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Palazzo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Matera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitonto 10 / 100
Matera 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitonto Matera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bitonto scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Bitonto has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Matera
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitonto

(Home)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
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Matera

(Away)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)