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Bitonto vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Rotondo M.
85' Event
Ventola D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Bitonto and Palmese 1914 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bitonto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bitonto
15%
Draws
34%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bitonto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Palmese 1914 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Bitonto Clean Sheet 19%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bitonto Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Bitonto vs Palmese 1914
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Bitonto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bitonto Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotondo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ventola D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Palmese 1914 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bitonto 32 / 100
Palmese 1914 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bitonto Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palmese 1914 has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Palmese 1914's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bitonto scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmese 1914
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bitonto

(Home)
05 May
Casarano
2 : 1
Bitonto
28 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Altamura
21 Apr
Gravina
5 : 1
Bitonto
14 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 0
Palmese 1914
07 Apr
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bitonto
Page 1 of 6

Palmese 1914

(Away)
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)