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Bjarg vs Loddefjord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bildoy M.
27' Event
Dahl C.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Odemark K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Bjarg in this Division 3 - Group 4 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjarg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bjarg
15%
Draws
28%
Loddefjord
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bjarg have won more games recently than Loddefjord.
  • Win probability leans Bjarg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bjarg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 68%
Loddefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjarg Loddefjord
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.03 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.35 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Bjarg vs Loddefjord
3:1
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Loddefjord vs Bjarg
0:4
Sep 28, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Loddefjord vs Bjarg
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Bjarg vs Loddefjord
7:0
Oct 7, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Bjarg vs Loddefjord
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Hopsdal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Loddefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Bildoy M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjarg 95 / 100
Loddefjord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjarg Loddefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bjarg's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Loddefjord conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bjarg has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bjarg VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjarg

(Home)
20 Sept
Bjarg
6 : 1
Traeff
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
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Loddefjord

(Away)
26 Oct
Loddefjord
1 : 4
Fana
19 Oct
Fyllingsdalen
6 : 0
Loddefjord
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
05 Oct
Valerenga 2
7 : 0
Loddefjord
28 Sept
Loddefjord
6 : 2
Lyn 2
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