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Stadium Background

Bjelovar vs Jaska Vinogradar

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2022/2023
Wed, Oct 19, 2022
4 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rupcic L.
18' Event
Glavina D.
32' Event
Varga L.

AI Match Summary

The Croatian Cup 2022/2023 game between Bjelovar and Jaska Vinogradar finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bjelovar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bjelovar
6%
Draws
4%
Jaska Vinogradar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Jaska Vinogradar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bjelovar a 90% chance of winning this.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Croatian Cup 2022/2023 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 68%
Jaska Vinogradar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Jaska Vinogradar
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 0
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2024 Croatian Cup
Bjelovar vs Jaska Vinogradar
4:0
Oct 19, 2022 Croatian Cup
Bjelovar vs Jaska Vinogradar
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Glavina D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varga L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Jaska Vinogradar Compare

Top Goalscorer Rupcic L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 95 / 100
Jaska Vinogradar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Jaska Vinogradar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BJE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Jaska Vinogradar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bjelovar scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Jaska Vinogradar conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Belisce3
BSK Buk0
Bijelo Brdo5
Marsonia1
Moslavina3
Medjimurje2
TBD-
Rijeka-
Vuteks Sloga1
Jadran Porec2
TBD-
Sibenik-
Radnik Krizevci1
Dubrava Zagreb3
TBD-
HNK Gorica-
Bjelovar1
Gaj Mace0
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Bistra2
Vodice1
TBD-
Lok. Zagreb-
RNK Split-
TBD-
TBD-
Cibalia-
Slavonac Bukovlje0
Borinci2
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
NK Nedelisce4
Varteks Varazdin (2011)3
TBD-
Zapresic-
Solin6
Funtana1
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Sava Strmec4
Bednja Beletinec6
TBD-
Rudes-
Neretva0
Grobnican2
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Nehaj Senj0
Primorac Biograd4
TBD-
Varazdin-
Papuk Orahovica1
Karlovac0
TBD-
Osijek-
Virovitica0
Mladost Zdralovi6
TBD-
Oriolik-
Tehnicar Cvetkovec4
Mladost Petrinja0
TBD-
Hajduk Split-
1/16-finals
Belisce1
Bijelo Brdo5
Moslavina1
Rijeka2
Jadran Porec1
Sibenik2
Dubrava Zagreb2
HNK Gorica3
Bjelovar4
Jaska Vinogradar2
Bistra1
Lok. Zagreb6
RNK Split2
Cibalia0
Borinci0
Din. Zagreb4
NK Nedelisce3
Zapresic0
Solin1
Slaven Belupo2
Bednja Beletinec0
Rudes3
Grobnican1
Istra 19612
Primorac Biograd1
Varazdin4
Papuk Orahovica0
Osijek2
Mladost Zdralovi6
Oriolik0
Tehnicar Cvetkovec1
Hajduk Split5
1/8-finals
Bijelo Brdo2
Rijeka1
Sibenik2
HNK Gorica0
Bjelovar0
Lok. Zagreb1
RNK Split1
Din. Zagreb3
NK Nedelisce0
Slaven Belupo6
Rudes2
Istra 19611
Varazdin1
Osijek2
Mladost Zdralovi0
Hajduk Split2
Quarter-finals
Bijelo Brdo0
Sibenik2
Lok. Zagreb1
Din. Zagreb3
Slaven Belupo2
Rudes0
Osijek1
Hajduk Split2
Semi-finals
Sibenik2
Din. Zagreb1
Slaven Belupo0
Hajduk Split1
Final
Sibenik0
Hajduk Split2