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Bjelovar vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cacic A.
67' Event
Puljic L.
90' Event
Turcin T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bjelovar in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjelovar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bjelovar
20%
Draws
38%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Bjelovar have won more games recently than Lucko.
  • Model gives Bjelovar a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 20%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Lucko
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Lucko
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Druga NL
Lucko vs Bjelovar
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Puljic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lucko Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 42 / 100
Lucko 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bjelovar's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bjelovar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS Lucko
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjelovar

(Home)
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
30 May
Dragovoljac
2 : 0
Bjelovar
23 May
Bjelovar
1 : 1
Solin
15 May
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 1
Bjelovar
09 May
Bjelovar
3 : 4
Uljanik Pula
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Lucko

(Away)
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
23 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Lucko
16 May
Lucko
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
09 May
Grobnican
2 : 2
Lucko
02 May
Lucko
1 : 1
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Segesta30212758:3365
2Kustosija30178555:2359
3Jadran Luka Ploce30185756:2959
4Mladost Zdralovi30178548:3259
5Uljanik Pula301641053:4452
6Uskok Klis301451148:3647
7Radnik Krizevci30138939:2847
8Solin30129946:4345
9Trnje30871537:4831
10Grobnican307101346:6031
11Varteks Varazdin (2011)30871534:4831
12Bjelovar30781532:4629
13Lucko30851732:4629
14Dugo Selo30781522:4329
15Dragovoljac306101428:4928
16Croatia Dakovo30741930:5625
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)