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Stadium Background

Bjelovar vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cacic A.
67' Event
Puljic L.
90' Event
Turcin T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Bjelovar in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bjelovar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Bjelovar
20%
Draws
24%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bjelovar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Bjelovar have won more games recently than Lucko.
  • Model gives Bjelovar a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 20%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjelovar Lucko
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.82 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Lucko
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 Druga NL
Lucko vs Bjelovar
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Puljic L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lucko Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjelovar 67 / 100
Lucko 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjelovar Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjelovar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bjelovar's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bjelovar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bjelovar VS Lucko
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjelovar

(Home)
12 Sept
Bjelovar
4 : 0
Grobnican
05 Sept
Radnik Krizevci
1 : 4
Bjelovar
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
3 : 4
Bjelovar
14 Aug
Bjelovar
2 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
Page 1 of 6

Lucko

(Away)
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)