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Bjorninn vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2012
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Throttur Vogar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bjorninn
20%
Draws
40%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Bjorninn haven't matched Throttur Vogar's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Throttur Vogar taking it.
  • Throttur Vogar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Throttur Vogar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bjorninn Clean Sheet 20%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bjorninn Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 8 32
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2012 Icelandic Cup
Bjorninn vs Throttur Vogar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bjorninn 12 / 100
Throttur Vogar 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bjorninn Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Throttur Vogar let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Throttur Vogar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Bjorninn's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Throttur Vogar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bjorninn

(Home)
23 Apr
Bjorninn
0 : 3
KA Asvellir
12 Jun
Keflavik
5 : 0
Bjorninn
07 Jun
Isbjorninn
4 : 5
Bjorninn
02 Jun
Vaengirs
1 : 1
Bjorninn
12 Apr
IH Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
Bjorninn
Page 1 of 2

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjardabyggd 4
Sindri 2
Magni 0
KA Akureyri 7
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Fjolnir 6
Thor-th 0
Fakur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Hviti 2
Aegir 1
Olafsvik 4
Augnablik 2
Hamar 0
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Hottur 7
Breidablik -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Bolungarvik 4
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Berserkir 1
Grotta 2
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 0
Ymir 0
Reynir 3
Afturelding -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
Throttur Vogar 1
Haukar 31
Snaefell 0
TBD -
Fram -
Selfoss -
TBD -
IR Reykjavik 2
Njardvik 4
KFS -
TBD -
Arborg 3
KB Breidholt 4
Valur -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Kopavogur 1
Lettir 0
Throttur 5
1/16-finals
Grindavik 1
Keflavik 0
Fjardabyggd 0
KA Akureyri 2
Fylkir 2
Hafnarfjordur 1
Fjolnir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Olafsvik 0
Augnablik 1
Hottur 4
Breidablik 5
Bolungarvik 0
Akranes 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 4
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Reynir 3
Afturelding 3
Throttur Vogar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Selfoss 2
Njardvik 1
KFS 0
KB Breidholt 1
Valur 4
Thor Akureyri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Throttur 2
1/8-finals
Grindavik 3
KA Akureyri 2
Fylkir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 6
Hottur 1
Breidablik 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Stjarnan 1
Reynir 0
Afturelding 2
Fram 3
Selfoss 4
KB Breidholt 0
Valur 1
Throttur 2
Quarter-finals
Grindavik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 2
Fram 1
Selfoss 0
Throttur 3
Semi-finals
Grindavik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 3
Throttur 0
Final
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1