Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BKMA vs Cilicia

Armenia Armenia

Armenian Cup 2024/2025 Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hovhannisyan K.
Assist: Afyan V.
23' Event
Petrosyan A.
49' Event
Hakobyan D.

AI Match Summary

BKMA in this Armenian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
BKMA
15%
Draws
28%
Cilicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BKMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • BKMA have won more games recently than Cilicia.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on BKMA taking it.
  • BKMA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BKMA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BKMA Clean Sheet 10%
Cilicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA Cilicia
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 8 4
Draws 8 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.3 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.53 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2024 Armenian Cup
BKMA vs Cilicia
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKMA Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovhannisyan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petrosyan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

Cilicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Karapetyan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 83 / 100
Cilicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA Cilicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cilicia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

BKMA found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Cilicia lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BKMA VS Cilicia
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA

(Home)
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
15 Aug
BKMA
1 : 2
Ararat Yerevan
Page 1 of 6

Cilicia

(Away)
08 Sept
Cilicia
3 : 5
Bitola (Am)
05 Sept
Tim Rhanbarthol y De (Am)
6 : 0
Cilicia
02 Sept
Zenica-Doboj Canton (Am)
8 : 0
Cilicia
24 Aug
Araks Ararat
4 : 2
Cilicia
20 Jun
Cilicia
2 : 0
Hiiumaa
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ararat Yerevan -
TBD -
Araks Ararat 0
FC Gandzasar 2
Noah -
TBD -
TBD -
Alashkert -
Shirak Gyumri -
TBD -
Andranik 0
Van 3
West Armenia -
TBD -
Nikarm 0
Syunik 11
Pyunik Yerevan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mika 2
Vayk 1
Bentonit 0
Lernayin Artsakh 7
BKMA 6
Cilicia 1
TBD -
Urartu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
1/8-finals
Ararat Yerevan 1
FC Gandzasar 2
Noah 2
Alashkert 0
Shirak Gyumri 0
Van 3
West Armenia 2
Syunik 1
Pyunik Yerevan -
TBD -
Mika 0
Lernayin Artsakh 2
BKMA 0
Urartu 4
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
Quarter-finals
FC Gandzasar 0
Noah 7
Van 6
West Armenia 2
Pyunik Yerevan 12
Lernayin Artsakh 4
Urartu 1
Ararat-Armenia 3
Semi-finals
Noah 2
Van 1
Pyunik Yerevan 2
Ararat-Armenia 3
Final
Noah 3
Ararat-Armenia 1