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BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BKMA play Shirak Gyumri in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, BKMA averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Shirak Gyumri averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, BKMA won 2, Shirak Gyumri won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for BKMA and 0.81 for Shirak Gyumri. This points to a BKMA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
BKMA
34%
Draws
27%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: BKMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • BKMA picked up more points recently compared to Shirak Gyumri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
BKMA Clean Sheet 26%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs BKMA
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 40 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA Shirak Gyumri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: BKMA or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

BKMA attacking → ← attacking Shirak Gyumri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKMA scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Shirak Gyumri let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

BKMA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shirak Gyumri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 18
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00