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BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Armenia Armenia

Premier League Football Academy Stadium, Yerevan
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Isayan A. In: Khachatryan A.
Out: Isayan A.
62'
Darbinyan L.
70'
Sub
Sargsyan A. In: Arakelyan A.
Out: Sargsyan A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between BKMA and Shirak Gyumri finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BKMA
15%
Draws
39%
Shirak Gyumri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BKMA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BKMA come out ahead of Shirak Gyumri on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
BKMA Clean Sheet 68%
Shirak Gyumri Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKMA Shirak Gyumri
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
2:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Shirak Gyumri vs BKMA
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
BKMA vs Shirak Gyumri
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKMA 41 / 100
Shirak Gyumri 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKMA Shirak Gyumri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKMA found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Shirak Gyumri let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: BKMA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BKMA VS Shirak Gyumri
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BKMA

(Home)
19 Sept
BKMA
1 : 1
Sardarapat
11 Sept
Van
2 : 1
BKMA
06 Sept
BKMA
2 : 1
Urartu
30 Aug
FC Gandzasar
0 : 3
BKMA
23 Aug
BKMA
0 : 1
Noah
Page 1 of 6

Shirak Gyumri

(Away)
20 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
1 : 3
Ararat-Armenia
13 Sept
Pyunik Yerevan
2 : 0
Shirak Gyumri
06 Sept
Shirak Gyumri
2 : 0
Sardarapat
29 Aug
Van
0 : 4
Shirak Gyumri
22 Aug
Shirak Gyumri
0 : 1
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noah 8 8 0 0 21:5 24
2 Ararat-Armenia 9 6 2 1 18:9 20
3 Pyunik Yerevan 8 5 3 0 18:8 18
4 Alashkert 9 4 4 1 19:7 16
5 Sardarapat 8 3 3 2 14:12 12
6 Urartu 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Shirak Gyumri 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Ararat Yerevan 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
9 BKMA 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
10 Van 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
11 FC Gandzasar 9 1 0 8 8:22 3
12 Syunik 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027/2028 (Main)