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BKS Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Wolsztynski R.
Penalty Missed
90' Event
Wolsztynski R.

AI Match Summary

BKS Sparta Katowice in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored BKS Sparta Katowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
BKS Sparta Katowice
20%
Draws
48%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • BKS Sparta Katowice have won more games recently than Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 20%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKS Sparta Katowice Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKS Sparta Katowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolsztynski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKS Sparta Katowice 31 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKS Sparta Katowice Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKS Sparta Katowice scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: BKS Sparta Katowice remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

BKS Sparta Katowice VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BKS Sparta Katowice

(Home)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2
BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1
Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
10 Oct
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 0
Kluczbork
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)