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BKV Elore vs ESMTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southeast
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Puskas G.
39' Event
Hegyi P.
65' Event
Balogh M.

AI Match Summary

ESMTK Budapest in this NB III - Southeast matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ESMTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
BKV Elore
20%
Draws
52%
ESMTK Budapest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESMTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ESMTK Budapest lately — more wins on the board than BKV Elore.
  • Model gives ESMTK Budapest a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB III - Southeast form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ESMTK Budapest here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
BKV Elore Clean Sheet 10%
ESMTK Budapest Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BKV Elore ESMTK Budapest
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 1.66 3.11
Goals Conceded 2.72 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 NB III - Southeast
BKV Elore vs ESMTK Budapest
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 NB III - Southeast
BKV Elore vs ESMTK Budapest
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs BKV Elore
4:0
May 4, 2025 NB III - Southeast
ESMTK Budapest vs BKV Elore
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 NB III - Southeast
BKV Elore vs ESMTK Budapest
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BKV Elore Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

ESMTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Puskas G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hegyi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BKV Elore 10 / 100
ESMTK Budapest 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BKV Elore ESMTK Budapest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESMTK Budapest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BKV Elore found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

BKV Elore has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ESMTK Budapest has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

BKV Elore VS ESMTK Budapest
1.38 Goals Scored 3.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

BKV Elore

(Home)
18 Oct
FC Dabas
4 : 5
BKV Elore
11 Oct
BKV Elore
1 : 1
Szeged-Csanad GA II
03 Oct
Vasas II
3 : 0
BKV Elore
27 Sept
BKV Elore
0 : 4
Bekescsaba 1912
19 Sept
Sandorfalvi
0 : 1
BKV Elore
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ESMTK Budapest

(Away)
17 Oct
Szolnoki MAV
2 : 3
ESMTK Budapest
11 Oct
ESMTK Budapest
3 : 0
Honved II
03 Oct
Szegedi
1 : 4
ESMTK Budapest
27 Sept
ESMTK Budapest
6 : 0
FC Dabas
20 Sept
Szeged-Csanad GA II
1 : 1
ESMTK Budapest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyulai Termal 12 12 0 0 43:10 36
2 ESMTK Budapest 12 8 3 1 33:12 27
3 III. Keruleti TVE 12 8 2 2 16:5 26
4 Szeged-Csanad GA II 12 5 5 2 22:15 20
5 Ujpest II 12 5 4 3 28:18 19
6 Vasas II 12 5 3 4 25:14 18
7 Csepel 12 4 5 3 24:18 17
8 FC Dabas 12 4 2 6 18:30 14
9 Bekescsaba 1912 12 3 5 4 18:17 14
10 Monori 12 3 5 4 22:23 14
11 Szolnoki MAV 12 3 5 4 26:28 14
12 Honved II 12 3 2 7 19:21 11
13 Sandorfalvi 12 3 1 8 8:30 10
14 BKV Elore 12 2 2 8 13:41 8
15 Hodmezovasarhely 12 1 5 6 13:25 8
16 Szegedi 12 1 3 8 15:36 6
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)