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Black Lions vs Morupule

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Black Lions Logo

Black Lions

0 - 2
FT
Morupule Logo

Morupule

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Morupule in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Morupule.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Black Lions
20%
Draws
46%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Morupule have won more games recently than Black Lions.
  • Model gives Morupule a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Black Lions Clean Sheet 17%
Morupule Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Lions Morupule
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.57 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Black Lions vs Morupule
0:2
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Black Lions
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Lions 28 / 100
Morupule 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Lions Morupule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Black Lions's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Morupule has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Black Lions stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Black Lions VS Morupule
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Lions

(Home)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Black Lions
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0
Black Lions
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
11 Apr
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0
Black Lions
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Morupule

(Away)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)