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Black Man Warrior vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Black Man Warrior
35%
Draws
24%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Black Man Warrior lately — more wins on the board than Freeport.
  • Black Man Warrior are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 20%
Freeport Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Man Warrior Freeport
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.94 1.53
Goals Conceded 1 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Freeport
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Black Man Warrior
1:2
Feb 20, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Black Man Warrior
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Freeport
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Man Warrior 40 / 100
Freeport 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Man Warrior Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Black Man Warrior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Black Man Warrior went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Black Man Warrior scored in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Black Man Warrior VS Freeport
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Man Warrior

(Home)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)