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Black Man Warrior vs Gardnersville

Liberia Liberia

Orange Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Black Man Warrior
6%
Draws
4%
Gardnersville
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Black Man Warrior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gardnersville come out ahead of Black Man Warrior on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Black Man Warrior's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Gardnersville arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Black Man Warrior, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Black Man Warrior Clean Sheet 16%
Gardnersville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Black Man Warrior Gardnersville
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 LFA First Division
Gardnersville vs Black Man Warrior
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Orange Cup
Gardnersville vs Black Man Warrior
2:3
Apr 22, 2026 Orange Cup
Black Man Warrior vs Gardnersville
1:1
Oct 30, 2025 LFA First Division
Black Man Warrior vs Gardnersville
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Black Man Warrior 84 / 100
Gardnersville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Black Man Warrior Gardnersville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gardnersville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Black Man Warrior went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gardnersville lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Black Man Warrior VS Gardnersville
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Black Man Warrior

(Home)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
19 May
Wologizi
3 : 2
Black Man Warrior
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
03 May
FC Fassell
1 : 1
Black Man Warrior
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
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Gardnersville

(Away)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
18 May
Watanga
3 : 1
Gardnersville
14 May
Gardnersville
1 : 0
Black Man Warrior
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
30 Apr
Gardnersville
2 : 3
Black Man Warrior
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Black Man Warrior1
Watanga0
Gardnersville2
Downtown0
BEA Mountain1
Freeport3
FC Fassell0
Shaita2
Semi-finals
Black Man Warrior4
Gardnersville3
Freeport1
Shaita2
Final
Black Man Warrior2
Shaita1