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Blackburn U21 vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 2025/2026 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sergeant J.
11' Event
Lister H.
46'
Sub
Farkas P. In: Odogun D.
Out: Farkas P.

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Blackburn U21
20%
Draws
36%
Aston Villa U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blackburn U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Blackburn U21 haven't matched Aston Villa U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Blackburn U21's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Aston Villa U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Blackburn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackburn U21 Aston Villa U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Premier League 2
Blackburn U21 vs Aston Villa U21
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Blackburn U21
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U21 vs Blackburn U21
6:2
Sep 24, 2023 Premier League 2
Blackburn U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:3
Dec 21, 2022 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U21 vs Blackburn U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blackburn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lister H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brannigan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackburn U21 40 / 100
Aston Villa U21 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackburn U21 Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Blackburn U21 scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Blackburn U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Blackburn U21 VS Aston Villa U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackburn U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 1
Blackburn U21
14 Sept
Blackburn U21
2 : 3
Reading U21
09 Sept
Blackburn U21
4 : 2
QPR U21
28 Aug
Ipswich U21
4 : 1
Blackburn U21
14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0
Blackburn U21
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Aston Villa U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 20 14 1 5 52:25 43
2 Manchester United U21 20 13 4 3 43:26 43
3 Manchester City U21 20 13 1 6 59:21 40
4 Fulham U21 20 11 5 4 48:32 38
5 Ipswich U21 20 12 2 6 45:45 38
6 Southampton U21 20 10 6 4 36:29 36
7 Liverpool U21 20 11 2 7 49:36 35
8 Tottenham U21 20 11 2 7 42:32 35
9 Leicester U21 20 9 4 7 48:42 31
10 Crystal Palace U21 20 9 4 7 36:31 31
11 Aston Villa U21 20 9 4 7 32:35 31
12 Brighton U21 20 8 6 6 38:25 30
13 West Ham U21 20 8 6 6 44:35 30
14 Arsenal U21 20 8 5 7 28:33 29
15 Sunderland U21 20 8 4 8 41:40 28
16 Middlesbrough U21 20 7 6 7 37:28 27
17 Nottingham U21 20 8 2 10 23:23 26
18 Everton U21 20 7 4 9 33:36 25
19 Reading U21 20 7 4 9 29:36 25
20 Stoke City U21 20 7 4 9 29:42 25
21 Newcastle Utd U21 20 6 6 8 30:35 24
22 Wolves U21 20 6 5 9 30:45 23
23 Norwich U21 20 5 5 10 32:42 20
24 Derby U21 20 5 5 10 26:44 20
25 Leeds U21 20 5 3 12 28:40 18
26 West Brom U21 20 5 3 12 26:41 18
27 Birmingham U21 20 4 5 11 26:52 17
28 Blackburn U21 20 4 2 14 27:46 14
29 Burnley U21 20 3 4 13 22:42 13
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