Sport Picks
Blackburn U21 vs Aston Villa U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Lancashire County Ground, Leyland 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sergeant J.
11'
11'
Lister H.
46'
46'
Sub
Farkas P. In: Odogun D.
Out: Farkas P.
AI Match Summary
Aston Villa U21 in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Blackburn U21 haven't matched Aston Villa U21's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Aston Villa U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Blackburn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blackburn U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.18 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Premier League 2
Blackburn U21 vs Aston Villa U21
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Blackburn U21
2:1
Feb 27, 2024 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U21 vs Blackburn U21
6:2
Sep 24, 2023 Premier League 2
Blackburn U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:3
Dec 21, 2022 Premier League Cup
Aston Villa U21 vs Blackburn U21
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blackburn U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lister H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Brannigan C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blackburn U21 30 / 100
Aston Villa U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blackburn U21 Aston Villa U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aston Villa U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aston Villa U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Blackburn U21 scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Away concern: Aston Villa U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Blackburn U21 VS Aston Villa U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Blackburn U21
(Home) 14 Aug
Southampton U21
4 : 0 Blackburn U21
28 Jul
Blackburn U21
5 : 2 Preston U21
24 Jul
Guiseley
3 : 2 Blackburn U21
17 Apr
Blackburn U21
0 : 2 Tottenham U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2 Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Blackburn U21
5 : 2 Preston U21
17 Apr
Blackburn U21
0 : 2 Tottenham U21
06 Apr
Blackburn U21
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
25 Mar
Blackburn U21
3 : 1 Reading U21
20 Mar
Blackburn U21
2 : 4 West Ham U21
Page 1 of 3
Aston Villa U21
(Away) 21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3 Manchester City U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
