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Blackpool vs Lincoln City

England England

EFL Cup Bloomfield Road, Blackpool
Tue, Aug 25, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Lincoln City have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Blackpool have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor Blackpool slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.25) point toward Lincoln City. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Blackpool
15%
Draws
51%
Lincoln City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lincoln City come out ahead of Blackpool on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Blackpool's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Lincoln City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Blackpool, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Blackpool Clean Sheet 19%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blackpool Lincoln City
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.11 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 League One
Lincoln City vs Blackpool
4:0
Dec 13, 2025 League One
Blackpool vs Lincoln City
2:2
Jan 28, 2025 League One
Lincoln City vs Blackpool
0:2
Oct 1, 2024 League One
Blackpool vs Lincoln City
1:1
Jan 1, 2024 League One
Blackpool vs Lincoln City
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blackpool 49 / 100
Lincoln City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blackpool Lincoln City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blackpool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Blackpool scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Lincoln City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lincoln City let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Blackpool VS Lincoln City
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Blackpool

(Home)
15 Aug
Blackpool
1 : 1
Wycombe
08 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 3
Blackpool
01 Aug
Blackpool
0 : 1
Port Vale
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0
Blackpool
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln City

(Away)
15 Aug
Middlesbrough
2 : 1
Lincoln City
08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2
Lincoln City
01 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 0
Lincoln City
01 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 1
Lincoln City
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1
Lincoln City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
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Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
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1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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