Sport Picks
Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit
Australia
NPL NSW Landen Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
37'
37'
Mallia M.
AI Match Summary
Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blacktown City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- NWS Spirit have won more games recently than Blacktown City.
- Model gives Blacktown City a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 18%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blacktown City | NWS Spirit |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit
1:0
May 31, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit
0:4
Aug 10, 2024 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City
4:2
May 4, 2024 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mallia M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
NWS Spirit Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blacktown City 41 / 100
NWS Spirit 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blacktown City NWS Spirit
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Blacktown City scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
NWS Spirit's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
Blacktown City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Blacktown City VS NWS Spirit
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Blacktown City
(Home) 19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0 Sydney Utd
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 Blacktown City
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0 Sydney Utd
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
07 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 2 Rockdale Ilinden
24 May
Blacktown City
0 : 2 Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 3
NWS Spirit
(Away) 18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1 NWS Spirit
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 St George Saints
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0 Wollongong
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1 NWS Spirit
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
05 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
23 May
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 45:15 | 55 |
| 2 | APIA Leichhardt | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 52:30 | 54 |
| 3 | Sydney Utd | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 35:17 | 51 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42:33 | 39 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 37:31 | 36 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U23 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | 35 |
| 7 | Manly Utd | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Wollongong | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 9 | UNSW | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:36 | 31 |
| 10 | NWS Spirit | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:30 | 31 |
| 11 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 29 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | 29 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | 25 |
| 14 | St. George City | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22:40 | 25 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 23:45 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26:54 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)