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Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Taleb A.
39' Event
Lacalandra A.
42' Event
Sheldon D.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Blacktown Spartans and Hurstville Zagreb finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacktown Spartans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Blacktown Spartans
15%
Draws
0%
Hurstville Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blacktown Spartans come out ahead of Hurstville Zagreb on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Blacktown Spartans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 20%
Hurstville Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown Spartans Hurstville Zagreb
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb
6:2
May 8, 2026 NSW League One
Hurstville Zagreb vs Blacktown Spartans
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacktown Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Taleb A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pelekanos P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Hurstville Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacalandra A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheldon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown Spartans 85 / 100
Hurstville Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown Spartans Hurstville Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacktown Spartans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown Spartans scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Hurstville Zagreb let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Blacktown Spartans has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown Spartans VS Hurstville Zagreb
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacktown Spartans

(Home)
29 Aug
Bulls Academy
2 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
21 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
6 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
07 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
4 : 0
Inter Lions
31 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
Page 1 of 6

Hurstville Zagreb

(Away)
28 Aug
Prospect United
3 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
21 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
6 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
16 Aug
Central Coast U23
1 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
08 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
01 Aug
Hurstville Zagreb
1 : 3
Northern Tigers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)