Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Derry City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Derry City come out ahead of Blarney Utd on wins alone.
- Derry City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Derry City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Derry City here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Blarney Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Derry City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blarney Utd | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 33 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.56 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2018 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
2:12
Jun 1, 2013 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
0:4
May 27, 2006 FAI Cup
Blarney Utd vs Derry City
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blarney Utd 10 / 100
Derry City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blarney Utd Derry City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 7.33 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Blarney Utd scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.
Defensive concern: Derry City conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Blarney Utd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Derry City
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Blarney Utd
(Home) 11 Aug
Blarney Utd
2 : 12 Derry City
01 Jun
Blarney Utd
0 : 4 Derry City
06 Apr
Blarney Utd
2 : 1 Parkvilla
30 Mar
Parkvilla
1 : 1 Blarney Utd
25 May
Blarney Utd
1 : 4 Malahide United
Page 1 of 2
11 Aug
Blarney Utd
2 : 12 Derry City
01 Jun
Blarney Utd
0 : 4 Derry City
06 Apr
Blarney Utd
2 : 1 Parkvilla
25 May
Blarney Utd
1 : 4 Malahide United
08 Feb
Blarney Utd
1 : 4 Limerick
Page 1 of 2
Derry City
(Away) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 7
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2 Derry City
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Malahide United 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Dundalk 1
Waterford 5
Douglas Hall 0
Cork City 1
Longford 2
Athlone 2
Galway United 1
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Waterford Crystal 1
Castlebar Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 4
Carrigaline Utd 0
Kildare County 2
Bray 3
Dublin City 4
Monaghan United 2
Wayside Celtic 0
Killester Donnycarney 1
UC Dublin 2
Kilkenny City 0
Drogheda 0
Limerick 1
Shelbourne 3
Bangor Celtic 1
Blarney Utd 1
Derry City 3
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Dundalk 0
Waterford 1
Longford 2
Athlone 3
Finn Harps 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sligo Rovers 2
Bray 1
Dublin City 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
UC Dublin 3
Limerick 1
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 1
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 4
Longford 1
Athlone 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 4
Killester Donnycarney 3
UC Dublin 0
Derry City 2
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 0
Sligo Rovers 0
Derry City 5
Final
St. Patricks 3
Derry City 4
