Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024

FC OSS '20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Blauw Geel play FC OSS '20 in the Derde Divisie 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Blauw Geel averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. FC OSS '20 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Blauw Geel won 4, FC OSS '20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Blauw Geel and 1.38 for FC OSS '20. This points to a Blauw Geel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Blauw Geel

17%

Draws

28%

FC OSS '20

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Blauw Geel picked up more points recently compared to FC OSS '20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 17%

FC OSS '20 Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Blauw Geel	FC OSS '20
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	20	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	14	16
Goals Scored	1.82	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.35	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Derde Divisie

Blauw Geel vs FC OSS '20

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Nov 12, 2023 Derde Divisie

FC OSS '20 vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:5

May 28, 2023 Derde Divisie

FC OSS '20 vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Dec 4, 2022 Derde Divisie

Blauw Geel vs FC OSS '20

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Apr 14, 2022 Derde Divisie

FC OSS '20 vs Blauw Geel

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blauw Geel Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Zanden K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nasser Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

FC OSS '20 Compare

Top Goalscorer van Dolleweerd S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blauw Geel 53 / 100

FC OSS '20 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Blauw Geel FC OSS '20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (1)

Secondary Pick Blauw Geel & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Blauw Geel attacking → ← attacking FC OSS '20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blauw Geel scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

FC OSS '20 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Blauw Geel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC OSS '20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 32

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RKAV Volendam	34	21	3	10	92:53	66
2	IJsselmeervogels	34	19	6	9	72:43	63
3	Genemuiden	34	16	11	7	68:40	59
4	USV Hercules	34	17	6	11	63:43	57
5	Sparta Nijkerk	34	18	2	14	81:66	56
6	Harkemase Boys	34	14	12	8	62:47	54
7	VV DOVO	34	14	10	10	62:45	52
8	HSC '21	34	14	10	10	60:53	52
9	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	14	6	14	61:42	48
10	Rijnvogels	34	14	6	14	60:62	48
11	Eemdijk	34	13	9	12	57:62	48
12	VVSB	34	14	5	15	62:67	47
13	DEM	34	14	5	15	49:54	47
14	Urk	34	12	9	13	56:73	45
15	Staphorst	34	13	5	16	56:64	44
16	VV Hoogeveen	34	10	3	21	45:87	33
17	Kampong	34	6	7	21	44:70	25
18	ODIN '59	34	3	5	26	29:108	14

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barendrecht	34	22	5	7	76:37	71
2	SteDoCo	34	20	9	5	70:32	69
3	Blauw Geel	34	20	7	7	67:35	67
4	TEC	34	17	10	7	67:33	61
5	Sportlust	34	18	7	9	56:36	61
6	Gemert	34	17	7	10	64:62	58
7	Meerssen	34	16	8	10	71:52	56
8	TOGB	34	16	2	16	47:43	50
9	HSV Hoek	34	13	8	13	73:53	47
10	UNA	34	13	8	13	50:46	47
11	HV & CV Quick	34	15	2	17	62:64	47
12	VV Kloetinge	34	13	8	13	45:48	47
13	OJC Rosmalen	34	8	12	14	55:70	36
14	FC OSS '20	34	10	6	18	47:70	36
15	AWC	34	8	7	19	28:66	30
16	GVV Unitas	34	8	5	21	40:64	29
17	Groene Ster	34	7	5	22	29:79	26
18	Baronie	34	6	2	26	34:91	20