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Blauw Geel vs SV Poortugaal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blauw Geel host SV Poortugaal in the Derde Divisie. Little to choose between these two on current form. Blauw Geel have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against SV Poortugaal's 1.29 scored and 2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.56 - 1.38) back Blauw Geel to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Blauw Geel
15%
Draws
20%
SV Poortugaal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blauw Geel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blauw Geel come out ahead of SV Poortugaal on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Blauw Geel taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Blauw Geel Clean Sheet 17%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blauw Geel SV Poortugaal
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.48 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.61 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blauw Geel 84 / 100
SV Poortugaal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blauw Geel SV Poortugaal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blauw Geel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Poortugaal has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

Blauw Geel found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Blauw Geel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

SV Poortugaal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blauw Geel VS SV Poortugaal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blauw Geel

(Home)
10 Oct
VVSB
0 : 2
Blauw Geel
04 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 1
UNA
26 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
1 : 0
Blauw Geel
20 Sept
Blauw Geel
3 : 1
Dongen
12 Sept
Roosendaal
1 : 3
Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 7

SV Poortugaal

(Away)
10 Oct
SV Poortugaal
1 : 0
UNA
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Scherpenzeel 9 7 1 1 17:9 22
2 Genemuiden 9 7 0 2 22:10 21
3 ACV Assen 9 6 2 1 22:9 20
4 Harkemase Boys 9 6 2 1 17:12 20
5 Excelsior 31 9 6 1 2 23:9 19
6 TEC 9 6 1 2 28:16 19
7 Sportlust 9 4 4 1 16:13 16
8 Purmersteijn 9 4 3 2 16:12 15
9 Sparta Nijkerk 9 4 2 3 22:18 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 9 4 1 4 23:19 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 9 4 1 4 18:19 13
12 USV Hercules 9 3 1 5 12:20 10
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 9 1 3 5 12:17 6
14 Staphorst 9 1 3 5 14:20 6
15 VV DOVO 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Eemdijk 8 1 1 6 11:28 4
17 HVV Hollandia 8 0 1 7 15:27 1
18 SVZW Wierden 9 0 1 8 9:27 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 9 7 1 1 19:2 22
2 Lisse 9 7 1 1 16:6 22
3 Rijnvogels 9 6 2 1 25:9 20
4 Excelsior Maassluis 9 6 2 1 19:7 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
6 VV Zwaluwen 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
7 GOES 9 4 2 3 17:19 14
8 Dongen 9 4 1 4 21:21 13
9 Blauw Geel 9 3 3 3 13:11 12
10 SV Poortugaal 9 4 0 5 9:13 12
11 Gemert 9 2 4 3 12:17 10
12 Roosendaal 9 3 0 6 15:20 9
13 Groene Ster 9 2 3 4 14:21 9
14 UNA 9 1 5 3 12:14 8
15 TOGB 9 2 2 5 13:21 8
16 VVSB 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
17 Achilles Veen 9 2 0 7 8:20 6
18 EVV 9 0 2 7 8:20 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)