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Bleiburg vs TSV Grafenstein

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Grafenstein in this Karnten 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bleiburg
28%
Draws
50%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Bleiburg have won more games recently than TSV Grafenstein.
  • TSV Grafenstein are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Karnten 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Bleiburg Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bleiburg TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Karnten
Bleiburg vs TSV Grafenstein
0:1
Aug 14, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Bleiburg
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bleiburg 22 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bleiburg TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Bleiburg scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Bleiburg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bleiburg VS TSV Grafenstein
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bleiburg

(Home)
05 Jun
Bleiburg
1 : 2
Donau Klagenfurt
30 May
Asko Kottmannsdorf
1 : 2
Bleiburg
23 May
Bleiburg
4 : 0
Dellach/Gail
17 May
Volkermarkt
2 : 1
Bleiburg
13 May
Bleiburg
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
10 Jul
Treibach
1 : 6
TSV Grafenstein
03 Jun
TSV Grafenstein
3 : 2
Dellach/Gail
29 May
Volkermarkt
5 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
23 May
TSV Grafenstein
5 : 0
Atus Ferlach
16 May
Matrei
1 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
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