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Blooming vs Vaca Diez

Bolivia Bolivia

League Cup 2023 Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Fernandez J.
41'
Spenhay R.
46'
Sub
Centella G. In: Menacho C.
Out: Centella G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Vaca Diez advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Blooming
20%
Draws
10%
Vaca Diez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blooming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blooming come out ahead of Vaca Diez on wins alone.
  • Blooming are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Blooming have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaca Diez, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Blooming have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Blooming Clean Sheet 19%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blooming Vaca Diez
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2023 Division Profesional
Vaca Diez vs Blooming
0:3
Aug 8, 2023 Copa Pacena
Vaca Diez vs Blooming
0:2
Jun 4, 2023 Division Profesional
Blooming vs Vaca Diez
3:1
Feb 15, 2023 Copa Pacena
Blooming vs Vaca Diez
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blooming Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Vaca Diez Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizael Monteiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vogliotti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blooming 85 / 100
Vaca Diez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blooming Vaca Diez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blooming Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vaca Diez conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Blooming scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Blooming stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blooming VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Blooming

(Home)
17 Sept
Blooming
1 : 1
Club Universitario de Vinto
12 Sept
Blooming
6 : 1
Academia del Balompie
10 Sept
Blooming
5 : 1
GV San Jose
07 Sept
Nacional Potosi
2 : 1
Blooming
30 Aug
Blooming
0 : 3
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 7

Vaca Diez

(Away)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 10 8 0 2 24:7 24
2 Jorge Wilstermann 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
3 Royal Pari 10 4 1 5 14:15 13
4 Libertad Gran Mamore 10 4 1 5 10:17 13
5 Tomayapo 10 3 3 4 7:13 12
6 Oriente Petrolero 10 1 3 6 7:19 6
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 3 4 1 5:4 13
2 The Strongest 8 3 3 2 10:6 12
3 Guabira 8 3 2 3 9:7 11
4 Atletico Palmaflor 8 2 4 2 5:5 10
5 Santa Cruz 8 1 3 4 4:11 6
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blooming 10 7 1 2 16:8 22
2 Always Ready 10 4 3 3 20:17 15
3 Club Universitario de Vinto 10 4 3 3 17:17 15
4 Nacional Potosi 10 3 3 4 20:17 12
5 Vaca Diez 10 4 0 6 14:21 12
6 Independiente 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
Promotion - League Cup 2023 (Play Offs)