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Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
89'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Blumenau
20%
Draws
60%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Blumenau haven't matched CA Metropolitano's recent run of results.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Blumenau taking it.
  • CA Metropolitano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CA Metropolitano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 11%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
0:1
Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
4:1
May 20, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
1:0
May 31, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:1
May 26, 2024 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 65 / 100
CA Metropolitano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blumenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: CA Metropolitano has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CA Metropolitano conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS CA Metropolitano
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 7

CA Metropolitano

(Away)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
2 Figueirense 4 3 1 0 5:2 10
3 Hercilio Luz 4 3 0 1 11:8 9
4 Joinville 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
5 Santa Catarina 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
6 CA Metropolitano 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
8 Nacao 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
9 Blumenau 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)