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Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Wellisson
(Penalty)
45' Event
Vinicius Jau
46' Event
Wellisson

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Blumenau
15%
Draws
59%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Metropolitano lately — more wins on the board than Blumenau.
  • Blumenau are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
0:1
Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
4:1
May 20, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
1:0
May 31, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:1
May 26, 2024 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Jau
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wellisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 34 / 100
CA Metropolitano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CA Metropolitano has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Blumenau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS CA Metropolitano
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
Page 1 of 7

CA Metropolitano

(Away)
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Hercilio Luz
4 : 2
CA Metropolitano
25 Jul
CA Metropolitano
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)