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Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Wellisson
(Penalty)
45' Event
Vinicius Jau
46' Event
Wellisson

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Blumenau
44%
Draws
20%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blumenau lately — more wins on the board than CA Metropolitano.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 20 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs CA Metropolitano
4:1
May 20, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
1:0
May 31, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:1
May 26, 2024 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
0:2
Jul 31, 2022 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Blumenau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Jau
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wellisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 34 / 100
CA Metropolitano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Blumenau has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CA Metropolitano has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS CA Metropolitano
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2
Sao Luiz
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CA Metropolitano

(Away)
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
01 Jul
Nacao
0 : 0
CA Metropolitano
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)