Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2025
Sun, Oct 5, 2025
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blumenau host Gremio Juventus in the Copa Santa Catarina 2025. Blumenau go into this one as the clear favorite. Blumenau have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Gremio Juventus's 1.63 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Blumenau have won 2 to Gremio Juventus's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Blumenau to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Blumenau
40%
Draws
29%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau have won more games recently than Gremio Juventus.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Santa Catarina 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 14 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
1:1
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Blumenau
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
0:0
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Gremio Juventus vs Blumenau
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Gremio Juventus
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 31 / 100
Gremio Juventus 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Gremio Juventus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Gremio Juventus let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Blumenau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Gremio Juventus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Figueirense642016:614
2Marcilio Dias641123:513
3Avai61144:164
4Barra FC (Santa Catarina)61054:203
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Catarina651013:316
2Chapecoense-SC61414:67
3Brusque61235:65
4Concordia61144:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blumenau641113:613
2Joinville63127:610
3Carlos Renaux61328:96
4Nacao60332:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma642015:514
2Tubarao62225:68
3Caravaggio62045:116
4Camboriu61236:95