Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Blumenau

0 - 2

Hercilio Luz

Our Tip

Match Events

Kauan

18'

Alvaro

85'

Igor Pimenta

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Blumenau and Hercilio Luz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Blumenau

39%

Draws

30%

Hercilio Luz

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Hercilio Luz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Blumenau Clean Sheet 15%

Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Blumenau	Hercilio Luz
Matches Played	37	26
Wins	21	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.75	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2

Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

May 13, 2026 Catarinense 2

Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 27, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina

Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz

Possession: 60% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

0:4

Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina

Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Hercilio Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan

1 Goals

Assists Leader Igor Pimenta

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 31 / 100

Hercilio Luz 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Blumenau Hercilio Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau scored in 78% of their last 37 games.

Hercilio Luz let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Blumenau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Hercilio Luz

1.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38

100% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1