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Blumenau vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gustavo
23' Event
Gustavo
29' Event
Josue

AI Match Summary

Blumenau in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blumenau
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blumenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blumenau lately — more wins on the board than Jaragua-SC.
  • Blumenau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 18 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.75 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Jaragua-SC
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Josue
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Jaragua-SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Blumenau scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Jaragua-SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Jaragua-SC
1.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631