Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Nathan Zamith
55'
55'
Marcao
57'
57'
Thiago Andre
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Luiz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Blumenau have won more games recently than Sao Luiz.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Blumenau taking it.
- Blumenau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sao Luiz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Luiz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Blumenau | Sao Luiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Blumenau vs Sao Luiz
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Serie D
Sao Luiz vs Blumenau
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Blumenau Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67
Sao Luiz Compare
Top Goalscorer Nathan Zamith
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Blumenau 46 / 100
Sao Luiz 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Blumenau Sao Luiz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Blumenau found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Sao Luiz let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Blumenau VS Sao Luiz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.33
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Blumenau
(Home) 19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1 CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2 Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0 Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1 Santa Catarina
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3 Blumenau
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19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1 CA Metropolitano
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1 Santa Catarina
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2 Nacao
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1 CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2 Hercilio Luz
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Sao Luiz
(Away) 26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
19 Jul
Sao Luiz
0 : 0 CSA
12 Jul
Sao Luiz
3 : 1 Velo Clube
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2 Sao Luiz
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26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
04 Jul
Velo Clube
2 : 1 Sao Luiz
27 Jun
Blumenau
1 : 2 Sao Luiz
31 May
FC Cascavel
0 : 0 Sao Luiz
23 May
Santa Catarina
1 : 0 Sao Luiz
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
