Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boavista vs Botafogo RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Tito
44' Event
Justino G.
Assist: Ythallo
47' Event
Artur
Assist: Edenilson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Boavista
30%
Draws
23%
Botafogo RJ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botafogo RJ lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • Boavista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Botafogo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Botafogo RJ, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Botafogo RJ
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Boavista
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
1:1
Mar 31, 2024 Carioca
Botafogo RJ vs Boavista
2:0
Mar 27, 2024 Carioca
Boavista vs Botafogo RJ
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Botafogo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Justino G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Artur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 95 / 100
Botafogo RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Botafogo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo RJ let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Boavista remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Boavista found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Boavista VS Botafogo RJ
1.29 Goals Scored 1
0.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0
Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0
Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0
CEAC/Araruama
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Botafogo RJ

(Away)
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2
Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1
Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Bangu 2
Volta Redonda 1
Boavista 0
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Bangu 1
Botafogo RJ 3