Sport Picks
Boavista vs CEAC/Araruama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 
Match Events
45'
45'
Savio Santos
57'
57'
Luketa
60'
60'
Keke
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to CEAC/Araruama lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
- Boavista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- CEAC/Araruama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boavista | CEAC/Araruama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs CEAC/Araruama
4:0
Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boavista Compare
Top Goalscorer Luketa
1 Goals Assists Leader Keke
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
CEAC/Araruama Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boavista 95 / 100
CEAC/Araruama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boavista CEAC/Araruama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boavista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Boavista stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
CEAC/Araruama let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Boavista scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Boavista VS CEAC/Araruama
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Boavista
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
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26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
24 Feb
Boavista
2 : 3 Maringa FC
Page 1 of 3
CEAC/Araruama
(Away) 22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1 Boavista
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1 Sao Cristovao
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1 Cabofriense
27 Jun
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 0 Olaria
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
24 Jun
America RJ
0 : 1 CEAC/Araruama
17 Jun
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
06 Jun
Resende
1 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
23 May
Perolas Negras
3 : 1 CEAC/Araruama
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
