Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boavista vs CEAC/Araruama

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boavista host CEAC/Araruama in the Copa Rio. This one's hard to separate. CEAC/Araruama have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Boavista have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.71. Past meetings favor Boavista slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.07, favoring CEAC/Araruama. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Boavista
33%
Draws
40%
CEAC/Araruama
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CEAC/Araruama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CEAC/Araruama lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
  • CEAC/Araruama are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Boavista Clean Sheet 20%
CEAC/Araruama Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista CEAC/Araruama
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Copa Rio
CEAC/Araruama vs Boavista
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 28 / 100
CEAC/Araruama 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista CEAC/Araruama

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CEAC/Araruama let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Boavista scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Boavista has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boavista VS CEAC/Araruama
0.71 Goals Scored 1
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso3
TBD-
Madureira-
Americano2
Macae1
TBD-
Portuguesa RJ-
CEAC/Araruama2
Sao Cristovao1
TBD-
Boavista-
Perolas Negras10
Santa Cruz RJ1
TBD-
Marica-
America RJ-
Goytacaz-
TBD-
Nova Iguacu-
Olaria6
Duque de Caxias0
TBD-
Bangu-
Sao Goncalo3
Serrano FC2
TBD-
Volta Redonda-
Resende11
Belford Roxo2
TBD-
Sampaio Correa FE-
1/8-finals
Bonsucesso2
Madureira2
Americano1
Portuguesa RJ1
CEAC/Araruama0
Boavista1
Perolas Negras0
Marica0
America RJ0
Nova Iguacu1
Olaria2
Bangu0
Sao Goncalo2
Volta Redonda1
Resende0
Sampaio Correa FE1
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-