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Boavista vs Gil Vicente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

52'
Sub
Reisinho M. In: Diaby A.
Out: Reisinho M.
55' Event
Pablo
Assist: Toure T.
56' Event
Pablo
Assist: Fujimoto K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Boavista and Gil Vicente finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Boavista
20%
Draws
36%
Gil Vicente
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gil Vicente come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Gil Vicente taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Boavista Clean Sheet 22%
Gil Vicente Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Gil Vicente
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Gil Vicente
1:3
Nov 2, 2024 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Boavista
1:2
May 4, 2024 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Gil Vicente
1:1
Dec 30, 2023 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Boavista
1:0
May 12, 2023 Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Boavista
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Gil Vicente Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 29 / 100
Gil Vicente 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Gil Vicente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gil Vicente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gil Vicente conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Boavista scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Boavista remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gil Vicente
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
Page 1 of 6

Gil Vicente

(Away)
19 Sept
Gil Vicente
1 : 1
Maritimo
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1
Gil Vicente
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1
Academico Viseu
30 Aug
Famalicao
0 : 0
Gil Vicente
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 88:27 82
2 Benfica 34 25 5 4 84:28 80
3 FC Porto 34 22 5 7 65:30 71
4 Braga 34 19 9 6 55:30 66
5 Santa Clara 34 17 6 11 36:32 57
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 34 14 12 8 47:37 54
7 Famalicao 34 12 11 11 44:39 47
8 Estoril 34 12 10 12 48:53 46
9 Casa Pia 34 12 9 13 39:44 45
10 Moreirense 34 10 10 14 42:50 40
11 Rio Ave 34 9 11 14 39:55 38
12 Arouca 34 9 11 14 35:49 38
13 Gil Vicente 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 32:50 34
15 Estrela da Amadora 34 7 8 19 24:50 29
16 AFS 34 5 12 17 25:60 27
17 SC Farense 34 6 9 19 25:46 27
18 Boavista 34 6 6 22 24:59 24
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)