Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Isael
50'
50'
Isael
67'
67'
Freitas Barreto P. C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Marica lately — more wins on the board than Boavista.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Boavista taking it.
- Marica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Marica Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boavista | Marica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Marica
3:0
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Rio
Marica vs Boavista
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
Marica vs Boavista
1:0
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Boavista vs Marica
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Carioca
Marica vs Boavista
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boavista Compare
Top Goalscorer Isael
2 Goals Assists Leader Luketa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Marica Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boavista 86 / 100
Marica 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boavista Marica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boavista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Boavista stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Boavista found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Marica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Boavista VS Marica
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Boavista
(Home) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
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26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
22 Jul
Boavista
4 : 0 CEAC/Araruama
24 Feb
Boavista
2 : 3 Maringa FC
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Marica
(Away) 12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0 Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
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12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
11 Jul
Resende
1 : 0 Marica
27 Jun
Americano
1 : 1 Marica
14 Jun
Serrano FC
1 : 1 Marica
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
