Sport Picks

Portugal

League Cup 2022/2023 Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto

Boavista

1 - 0

Vilafranquense

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Silva L.

28'

Leo Alaba

32'

Cannon R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boavista in this League Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Boavista

20%

Draws

36%

Vilafranquense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boavista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Boavista haven't matched Vilafranquense's recent run of results.
36% — that's where the model lands on Vilafranquense taking it.
Vilafranquense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Boavista, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Boavista Clean Sheet 14%

Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Boavista	Vilafranquense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	4	12
Losses	21	11
Goals Scored	0.71	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.81	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	0.85	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2022 League Cup

Boavista vs Vilafranquense

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Njie Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.42

Vilafranquense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 23 / 100

Vilafranquense 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Boavista Vilafranquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vilafranquense Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilafranquense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Boavista's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Boavista stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boavista VS -

0.5 Goals Scored 0

2.25 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)

17 May

Arouca

4 : 1

Boavista

11 May

Boavista

1 : 2

FC Porto

05 May

AFS

1 : 2

Boavista

27 Apr

Boavista

0 : 5

Sporting CP

18 Apr

SC Farense

0 : 1

Boavista

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Vilafranquense

(Away)

28 May

Vilafranquense

1 : 1

BSAD

19 May

Leixoes

2 : 0

Vilafranquense

14 May

Vilafranquense

0 : 0

Covilha

06 May

Mafra

2 : 1

Vilafranquense

29 Apr

Vilafranquense

2 : 0

Torreense

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