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Boavista W vs Duque de Caxias W

Brazil Brazil

Carioca Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Goncalves L. B.
68' Event
dos Santos Freiman L.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Rafaelly d. F. R. d. S.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca Women 2024 game between Boavista W and Duque de Caxias W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Duque de Caxias W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Boavista W
6%
Draws
90%
Duque de Caxias W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Duque de Caxias W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Duque de Caxias W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Duque de Caxias W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Boavista W Clean Sheet 10%
Duque de Caxias W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista W Duque de Caxias W
Matches Played 5 13
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 1
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.2 0.88
Goals Conceded 7.2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.20 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2024 Carioca Women
Boavista W vs Duque de Caxias W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

Duque de Caxias W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves L. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafaelly d. F. R. d. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista W 10 / 100
Duque de Caxias W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista W Duque de Caxias W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUQ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Duque de Caxias W let in goals in 69% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Duque de Caxias W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Boavista W scored in 20% of their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boavista W VS Duque de Caxias W
0.2 Goals Scored 0.88
7.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
80% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ W550029:215
2CR Flamengo W550019:115
3Perolas Negras W53118:410
4EC Resende W52124:97
5Olaria W51042:253
6Boavista W50051:360
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense W640229:512
2Vasco W631227:510
3CEAC/Araruama W621311:107
4Duque de Caxias W62046:186
5Serra Macaense W61054:253