Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boca Juniors 2 vs Lanus 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Lobos G.
54' Event
Gelini G.
Penalty Missed
75'
Pussetto J.

AI Match Summary

Lanus 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Boca Juniors 2
15%
Draws
46%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boca Juniors 2 lately — more wins on the board than Lanus 2.
  • Boca Juniors 2 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Boca Juniors 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Juniors 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 21 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Reserve League
Boca Juniors 2 vs Lanus 2
0:1
Nov 12, 2025 Reserve League
Boca Juniors 2 vs Lanus 2
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Reserve League
Boca Juniors 2 vs Lanus 2
2:0
May 16, 2024 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Boca Juniors 2
1:0
Sep 14, 2023 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Boca Juniors 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Juniors 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lanus 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lobos G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Juniors 2 36 / 100
Lanus 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Juniors 2 Lanus 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Juniors 2's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Lanus 2 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Boca Juniors 2 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boca Juniors 2 VS Lanus 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Juniors 2

(Home)
09 Sept
Platense 2
0 : 2
Boca Juniors 2
03 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
26 Aug
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 3
Boca Juniors 2
20 Aug
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
12 Aug
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 0
Boca Juniors 2
Page 1 of 7

Lanus 2

(Away)
10 Sept
Deportivo Riestra 2
4 : 1
Lanus 2
01 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
26 Aug
Colon Santa Fe 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
18 Aug
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 2
Lanus 2
12 Aug
Lanus 2
3 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)